Tuesday, June 4, 2019

2020 Presidential Election: Will Economy Save Trump?

Good Day World!

“I think much of a #writerslife is figuring out how much coffee is needed to fuel madness & creativity while avoiding having to pee.” - Jennifer Worrell 

As much as the majority of Americans loath Trump, many could conceivably give him a pass and re-elect him if the economy is thriving.

Or, at least that's the conventional view.

I know! It's blasphemy to suggest the orange ape might squat in the White House for another four years. However, you can't count out a healthy economy either. It's a powerful point to run on.

For most candidates. That may not be true for Trump.

His war with Congress is going to take a lot of oxygen out of his re-election campaign, despite what his minions believe. Trump's challenge to impeach him is part of their twisted strategy to get more than his fervent base to rally around him when it comes time to vote.

I would suggest to those mini-stable genius' laboring around that battle plan that they're not looking at the overall picture logically.

Let's start with Nixon. Americans had little desire to impeach him (37% for impeachment), until the impeachment inquiry opened up a can of whoop ass! 

Let's compare:

The latest poll on Trump shows 43% of Americans are ready to impeach him. That's an increase from April, when the number was 37%.

Political analysts are saying that 67% of the country wants to hear Special Counsel Robert Mueller testify before Congress. That results from that interview could be even more disastrous than his report.

Looking at what happened to Nixon is a road map to what we can expect. The more evidence that came out against him during the inquiry, the more the American people lost faith in him and his numbers in the polls tanked. He finally had to step down in disgrace.

Not that I expect Trump to take losing gracefully, or to slip quietly away into history. I suspect he'll have to be frog-marched out of the White House by FBI agents (wouldn't you love being one of those lucky guys?).

Back to the economy. It's been looking good thus far, but ominous signs are surfacing.

Experts Warn of 'High Chance' of a recession by 2020

Which leads me back to how popular Trump will be next year if we're in a recession. Yes, I know, no matter what his cult-followers won't be swayed by anything. 

However, combining Trump's unpopularity with the majority of Americans, the negative results coming from an impeachment inquiry, and a lousy economy should be more than enough for him to lose the election in a landslide.

Time for me to walk on down the road... 

No comments: