Thursday, October 18, 2018

Here's a Cookie - Now Take Your Polls With You!

Good Day World!

After Trump stole the 2016 election, I decided to never listen to pollsters predictions ever again.

It's not easy avoiding polls however, because the mainstream media and social media are crammed with useless polls. We hear their results of polls on TV, and radio every day. 

I'm not impressed by those polls that show "Blue Waves, or "Red Waves" going into the midterms. They're like cotton candy to encourage one base or another that they're doing well despite the fact no one has even voted yet.

I strongly suspect that some polls discourage voters from even voting, thinking their lone vote will make no difference in the outcome of an election.

If you plan on giving a poll a chance here's three things I recommend you pay attention too:

1.) If the poll doesn't disclose its methodology that's a red flag. Ignore it.

2.) Who are the pollsters asking you questions? Some are more credible than others based upon past performances. Knowing the source of a poll is important when it comes to evaluating veracity.

3.) When you look at polling data consider who has been questioned. Some polls will take answers into account from registered voters rather than people who are considered likely to cast a ballot.

I think the safest thing to do with polls is to look at them as less than perfect barometers in a complex guessing game. 

Time for me to walk on down the road.... 

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