Silver and others aren't predicting that will be the case. More like they're pointing out a possible scenario that could only happen in our chaotic political world today.
There's no modern equivalent to the sheer craziness of someone criminally indicted (possibly in multiple cases) running for a federal office let alone the presidency.
One longtime Fox News commentator, Juan Williams, wrote an op-ed where he stated, "It pains me to say it, but if former President Trump is soon indicted, it might have zero effect on his campaign for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination."
Predictively Trump will resort to the Russia, Russia, Russia and Witch Hunt refrain. As Williams pointed out, "Most Republican voters continue to ignore his blatant lies about a stolen election in 2020."
What I'm going to find interesting is how other GOP candidates running for the presidency treat Trump's trials in their campaigns. I have a hunch most will not have the guts to attack him out of fear of his crazy base/cult.
In other words, Trump is counting on his cult minions to carry the day for him. It remains to be seen just how many cult members he can count on to win the primary and eventually the presidency.
Because few people are predicting Trump's failure and most seem resigned to watching him get away with breaking every law on the books, I'm saying not only will Trump fail, but I expect him to go to jail!
As it stands, while it's still early, I'm going to predict the Democrats will stay in the White House in 2024.
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