Chris Good is a staff editor at TheAtlantic.com, and he argues that Prop 19 is slowly making inroads with California voters. If you ask me, I haven’t seen a poll yet that doesn’t have problems with the methodology used.
At this point, it’s anyone’s guess, as far as I’m concerned. I’m waiting for the campaign to start getting ugly (they all do at some point):
“Polling has gone back and forth on whether or not Californians actually want to legalize marijuana, but the latest numbers show legalization's prospects looking up.”
“So here's where polling on marijuana legalization stands: the poll with the largest sample sizes, the only poll to use live interviews, showed legalization trailing earlier this summer. Public Policy Polling's automated survey, with a smaller sample size, shows it ahead. PPP has had a decent track record in predicting primary races this year, even though the broader community of pollsters and journalists tends to be skeptical of automated polls.”